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MSNBC
Oct 31, 2012 7:00am PDT
of the president obama has just a one-point lead among likely voters. three new swing state polls show the president still in the lead, although with a margin that is shrinking in florida, virginia and ohio. and instead of campaigning, the president went to the red cross in washington, d.c., yesterday. >> this is a tough time for a lot of people. millions of folks all across the eastern seaboard. but america is tougher. and we're tougher because we pull together, we leave nobody behind, we make sure that we respond as a nation and remind ourselves that whenever an american is in need, all of us stand together to make sure that we're providing the help that's necessary. >> mitt romney will resume a full campaign schedule today, stumping in florida. he held a disaster relief event yesterday in ohio. >> we've got people right now that are having some hard times because of this terrible hurricane and the storm that followed it, and your generosity will make a difference. so i want to thank you. >> i want to bring in usa today's washington bureau chief susan page. maureen dowd writes t
MSNBC
Nov 2, 2012 7:00am PDT
states. >> well, it is interesting, aaron, when i was talking to both the romney and obama campaign folks here in columbus yesterday, they said they're going to be watching not suburban columbus, but cuyahoga county and a lot of those working class voters, of course, also african-american voters, but they're looking at the margins in some of those places like barack obama talk about the importance of those votes. >> let me point out about cuyahoga county. president obama beat john mccain in 2008 in cuyahoga county by a larger number of votes and he won the entire state. so it's really important for cuyahoga county. but a very important place for him to run up those margins. we will see bill clinton campaign up in akron, ohio, even further north and east of cleveland. a high point in this state. >> what we talk a lot about is what we add journalists and the talking class talk about what regular americans, ohio and they're talking about. of all the people i spoke with yesterday, only one person brought up hurricane sandy. a lot of attention was paid to michael bloomberg's endorsement.
MSNBC
Oct 27, 2012 9:00am PDT
new hampshire, which is another key battle ground state. president obama will be speaking here a little bit later on this afternoon. he will be joined by music icon james taylor. this is the president's sixth visit to new hampshire. doesn't have as many electoral votes as colorado. it only has four electoral votes. but those are four important electoral votes because this race is so razor tight, alex. president obama won this state in 2008 and hasn't seen some of the same effects of the economic downturn as other states in fact the unemployment rate here is at 5.7%. it's far below the national average. but of course mitt romney has a home in this state. he was governor of neighboring massachusetts. so he carries a lot of weight here in this state as well. i expect from president obama takes the podium later on this afternoon you will hear him continue his message to middle class voters trying to make the case that he is the candidate to best preserve the interests of middle class voters and also to sort of reiterate what you heard in that commercial that you ran a little bit earl
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 12:00pm PDT
. they are a prosperous state. the recession skips over iowa. they are liking obama. >> whatever happens, whoever wins and we did our election maps and i have iowa going to obama, iowa is a state where romney will have his best gains in the country where john mccain didn't in 2008. this was a 10 or 11 point race in 2008. now two, three, four would be a lot for obama. you can go back to 2004, bush won a squeaker. in 2000 gore won it by 4,000. iowa is two states. we say it's a progressive tradition. there's a ton of social conservative, religious social conservatives in western iowa and there's also a lot of these white working class middle class voters as a demo brafic have turned hard on obama across the country. iowa, they are particularly pronounced in that state. a lot more for romney to work with. your point is key, i mentioned this last week on the show. in the 1980s iowa was an exception. the national economy was strong. farm economy collapsed in iowa and iowa took it out on george bush sr. we might see the opposite where the economy is weak in a lot of places but stronger in iowa.
MSNBC
Nov 4, 2012 1:00am PDT
battleground state of ohio, president obama is definitely on the move. the latest nbc maris poll has the president up. he is pushing hard about the dishonest ad about jeep moving jobs to china. >> you've got folks who work at the jeep plant who have been calling their employers worried asking if their jobs were being shipped to china. you've heard about this. everybody heard about this? and the reason they're worried is because governor romney is running ads saying that jeep is shipping jobs to china. there's only one problem. it's not true. >> it's just not ohio where president obama is surging. in 22 new polls of battleground states, the president leads in 19 of them. the obama campaign is taking nothing for granted, however. and joe biden put the campaign into perspective. >> i want to remind you, this is the end of daylight savings time tonight. it's mitt romney's favorite time of the year because he gets to turn the clock back. he wants to turn that clock back so desperately. this time he can really do it tonight, it happens. >> in between all this hectic campaigning, president obam
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 1:00am PDT
year. it's not just that obama is up there, but it's a state where it's been stable and consistent in the polling. i think it might be more in play because i don't think they are conceding ohio. they need a better plan b. >> is there a famous circumstance in which all the polls all yearlong point in one direction and a partisan poll correctly predicted the results? >> that poll is almost always going to be wrong. especially when there's a consensus of 20 polls. maybe in a house race where the public polls aren't as good. but the public polling is pretty good. we know what the party bases are and where they live. this is a state that teases republicans where they can get up to 49% pretty easily, but it's hard to get to 50%. unless because of the hurricane and where the power outages might be, that could affect things. but apart from that, it's a sign of a campaign that doesn't like the electoral map very much. >> what about the montra we have been hearing on the right. we were hearing the idea that mr. romney has momentum heading into the election day. you shouldn't look at the raw
MSNBC
Nov 4, 2012 3:00am PST
minute of that extra hour. president obama bounces from one battleground state to another using ohio as his airline hub. he's using all the hot spots trying to rally his base and any undecided voters he thinks are left. governor romney is also racing against the clock, tweaking his closing argument just slightly to get into the end zone. and in case you forgot, we've got more than two guys running on tuesday, tonight we'll break down all of the battles, particularly for congress and who will decide control of it and what the next president can get done. good evening from democracy plaza. here in new york city, it is saturday, november 3, 2012. this is a prime time edition of "the daily rundown." i'm chuck todd. i call it my election preview special, so we'll get to my first reads with a twist. we're taking a look at how we got here. presidential elections that aren't close are actually odd. no republican has gotten more than 300 electoral votes since 1988. only four democrats in history have gotten more than 53% of the vote. polls say the president may have an advantage, but rom
MSNBC
Oct 31, 2012 11:00pm PDT
that president obama has a four-point lead in the battleground states, 50-46. we'll be right back. this is hayden. he's five years old. that's elizabeth. and that's skyler... and his mom, nancy. they're just a few of the californians who took it on themselves to send you a message about what they need to restore years of cuts to their schools. prop thirty-eight. thirty-eight raises billions in new revenue - bypasses sacramento and sends every k through 12 dollar straight to our local schools... every school. for them. for all of us. vote yes on thirty-eight. joe," and i will shave off my mustache of 40 years if we lose any of those three states. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was, of course, david axelrod, famous for his mustache. he's with the obama campaign, sounding very bullish i should say on their chances, obama's chance of carrying michigan, minnesota, and of course, pennsylvania. these three states haven't been given much time or attention by the media or the money spenders until lately. and that's because the romney camp and their cohorts in the super pac world annou
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 12:00am PDT
biden was campaigning also in the sunshine state today. president obama returns to the campaign trail tomorrow. he plans to barnstorm seven battleground states over the next several days. but today we did not see politics in action. what we saw was government in action. people with authority to make decisions. chris christie is not the first person, i think, that you would think of when you come to the, you know, arena of bipartisan cooperation. he is a mitt romney supporter and a fierce opponent of many democratic issues. for whatever reason, we saw a different chris christie with president obama today. this is what cooperation looks like. when the american people need government to work, these two elected officials became leaders and are in lockstep with each other. about time, isn't it? things are getting done. so many politicians run for office saying that they are going to reach across the aisle when they get to washington, and they're going to get things done when they get elected. most of them never deliver. now, in defense of president obama, i just want to remind the country
MSNBC
Oct 31, 2012 5:00pm PDT
coordinated effort between state, federal, and local government, which president obama and governor christie and governor malloy and the other elected officials in the region affected have been doing yeoman's work. i shudder to think about what we would do down here in florida in the aftermath of a storm if we didn't have fema to coordinate everything. >> the koch brothers' super pac -- the koch brothers' super pac, americans for prosperity, said today that they're going to spend $3 million on anti-obama advertising in pennsylvania and michigan, all the way up until election day. now, six days, five days, a lot of impact there. what's your take on this? i mean, is this going to have an impact? are we going to see the full throat of citizens united down the stretch? >> i'm sure that they're going to go swimming in the kitchen sink at this point. i mean, what they can't get away from is that we have been executing our ground game, that we built for almost two years now. actually, in some states, we never left, like north carolina, like florida, where our organization has been there si
MSNBC
Oct 31, 2012 2:00pm PDT
president obama has a 12-point lead in the battleground states, where it matters. with a deadline. and you...rent from national. because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle... and go. you can even take a full-size or above, and still pay the mid-size price. this is awesome. [ male announcer ] yes, it is, business pro. yes, it is. go national. go like a pro. >>> i will come on "morning joe" and i will shave off my mustache of 40 years if we lose any of those three states. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was david axelrod, famous for his mustache. he's with the obama campaign, sounding very bullish on their chances, obama's chance of carrying michigan, minnesota, and of course, pennsylvania. these three states haven't been given much time or attention by the media or the money spenders until lately. that's because the romney camp and their cohorts in the super pac world announce they're now going to start advertising there. they're pouring in over 4 million bucks in pennsylvania, 2 million in michigan, and about $1 million in minnesota. the obama campaign says they're
MSNBC
Nov 2, 2012 3:00pm PDT
obama in virginia. so if these polls prove right, the president edges out in the swing states and is re-elected? >> exactly. and i would look at iowa and wisconsin. romney has to win one of those states. if he wins ohio, then he has a shot. if he can't get ohio, he still has a plausible path if he can get wisconsin. what has to be really troubling to the romney campaign is we're seeing more and more polling in those states and they are not moving in his direction and the president's turnout particularly in ohio has been very strong, very robust. so i think those two states in particular are going to prove and looking at florida and virginia, i still think the president has a very strong chance to win in florida and my home state of virginia as well. i think they could also end up in the blue column. >> well, they have to let everybody vote but i'll get to that later on in the program. alicia, the economic argument where you talked about the jobs numbers and that's what the romney people have to say, well, a lot of that was based on how people felt about the economy. but there's been
MSNBC
Oct 31, 2012 6:00am PDT
these states while the obama campaign would like to wish it's 2008. the reality is they are forced to play some defense in more states that they once believed were safer for the president. the obama campaign is taking the threat seriously enough that they sent president clinton to minnesota tuesday. they're buying airtime in all three states that romney would like to make xcompetitive. but the president's campaign, they called romney's move desperate. in a video released yesterday, the race was framed to his volunteers this way. >> we are ahead or tied in every single battleground state. that means mitt romney has to win not only the tossups but a couple states where we have a clear lead to have any chance of winning the presidency. >> messina ran through the battleground states but explicitly did not mention michigan or minnesota. he says, quote, they are throwing money at states where they never built an organization and have been losing for two years. the romney campaign and its allies' decision to go up with advertising in michigan, pennsylvania, and minnesota is a decision made o
MSNBC
Oct 31, 2012 10:00pm PDT
now pick up that are non-traditional. that's what barack obama did after he won his must-win states like illinois or pennsylvania. republicans haven't secured ohio. they haven't secured virginia. they haven't even secured north carolina. you can't expand the map until you secure the map. >> let's get to this auto industry fight. we have two new polls out of michigan tonight. a detroit news/wdiv poll shows president obama leading 48% to 45%, which is within the poll's 3.78 margin of error. but a new "detroit free press"/wxyz poll has president obama leading by six points, 48% to 42%. now, half of those polled said that the rescue of gm and chrysler was a deciding factor in their support and 2/3 of those people backed president obama. robert reich, it seems like michigan voters have figured out who they want to give credit to for the auto bailout. >> yes, they have. although romney and ryan are doing everything they possibly can, lawrence, to confuse voters, to dissemble, to claim credit for the bailout, to actually say, believe it or not, and unfortunately some people believe big lie
MSNBC
Oct 26, 2012 10:00pm PDT
unbelievable. >> president obama picking up a bunch of newspaper editorial endorsements in swing states. the las vegas sun, the miami herald, and also in the detroit paper. they endorsed mitt romney but said he was wrong about the auto bailout. they were lucky they had the president they did back then. krystal ball and ari melber, thank you for joining me tonight. >> thanks. >>> coming up. early voting in ohio and right here on "the last word." i'm going to fill out my california ballot. joe reid is reporting for us tonight. and in the rewrite, why lena dunham has rush limbaugh wondering what it would be like if he was a women. americans are always ready to work hard for a better future. since ameriprise financial was founded back in 1894, they've been committed to putting clients first. helping generations through tough times. good times. never taking a bailout. there when you need them. helping millions of americans over the centuries. the strength of a global financial leader. the heart of a one-to-one relationship. together for your future. ♪ to volunteer to help those in need. when a
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 6:00pm PDT
recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states, again, there will be three that we're going to be watching most closely. florida, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of the -- southwest, excuse me. of th
MSNBC
Nov 2, 2012 1:00am PDT
in those states. polling average in the state of colorado, it's very close. president obama ahead by less than a point. in michigan, it's president obama ahead by three points. and in wisconsin, the polling average has mr. obama ahead by more, by five points. then at 10:00 eastern time, polls will be closed in all of those states and we'll be closing polls in the 10:00 eastern time in that hour in the states that you see blinking right here. these four states. of those four states, iowa, montana, nevada, and utah, two of them are going to be watched really closely. those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily for the presidency. unless things g
MSNBC
Oct 28, 2012 11:00pm PDT
different from all the other battleground states and all of the other mathematics from obama campaign. it's the state that demographically doesn't fit what they're trying to do everything that they're trying to do in every other swing state is about hispanics and gender. not ohio. ohio is different. why does romney think he can win ohio and catch up? the demographic group that mitt romney performs best with is white men. the demographic group he's performing poorly in ohio is white men. auto workers in toledo, akron, northwest part of the state. >> i think the reason for that is a, what rachel mentioned, the fight over union rights. a lot of counties that voted for kasich in the election swung overwhelmingly in favor of the unions in the referendum. secondly again the auto rescue. which makes a big difference in that quadrant you talked about. which is white working-class voters. and governor kasich dissed michigan, which i suppose is what you do when you're governor of ohio. i was up there this week. michigan has had one of the biggest drops in unemployment. when obama took office, m
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 8:00pm PDT
a real good place for president obama. what about the middle of the state? >> well, the middle of the state as well, and we have to remember that there's a huge influx of puerto ricans in the middle of the state. and other non-cuban hispanics. so to pull this cuban ad or try to pull out the cuban vote is really desperate because now the majority of hispanics in florida are non-cubans. and so they are -- they're back in i don't know what year. again, he's going backwards. we're moving forward. so they don't even get the hispanic community. obviously. because this is such a turnoff to the hispanic community. and i think even to the younger cuban community. >> all right. annette taddeo, great to have you with us tonight. thanks so much for joining us on "the ed show." >>> coming up, profiting from a crisis. mitt romney's accused of making millions from the automobile rescue. tonight the united autoworkers are demanding a federal investigation. >>> and five days until the election, former president bill clinton is out on the campaign trail big-time. but where's former president george
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 5:00pm PDT
made three campaign appearances in the state of virginia today. president obama jumped all over the place from wisconsin to nevada, to colorado. both candidates are making their closing arguments. interesting. a closing argument. what is mitt romney's closing argument? his latest incarnation is that he's the guy who reaches across the aisle? >> we have to stop the dividing and the attacking and the demonizing. we've got to reach across the aisle, bring in good democrats with good republicans and finally do the people's business and put the politics behind. >> we just need to stop demonizing, don't we? well, old mittster, show leadership and pick up the phone and call mitch mcconnell. it's interesting for mitt romney to present himself as a guy who works across the aisle while president obama is being label by the tea partyers and everybody else in the right wing as nothing but the divider in chief. romney might want to pick up the phone, you know, give this guy a call, keynote speaker of the republican convention. governor christie spent the last four days praising the president of
MSNBC
Oct 27, 2012 11:00am PDT
race this tight, every single electoral vote is key. president obama carried this state in 2008. unemployment rate far below the national average, but mitt romney has a strong presence here. not only was he governor of neighboring massachusetts, but he owns a house here in new hampshire. kristen welker, thank you for that report. >>> from new hampshire to the sunshine state. many residents down here in florida not waiting until election day to cast their ballots. just this morning, hundreds, thousands lining up at polling places to lock in their support for their candidate of choice. will this early electoral activity impact what we see on november 6th? joining me to talk about it, a.b. stoddard associate editor on the hill and jeff greenberg. a.b., let me start with you. both candidates want to bank votes, but this has been a major push for the president, in particular. he made it his public service announcement on the trail. can democrats make enough strides with in-person early voting to prevent sweating out election night? >> well, that's what they hope. if you talk to them
MSNBC
Nov 2, 2012 1:00pm PDT
votes without winning ohio. so president obama trying to hold onto this state, in part making the case today about the auto bailout. that is an issue that really resonates with voters, but the president really taking romney to task over his recent claim that jeep is shipping jobs overseas to china. it's a claim the romney campaign is standing by but one that's been smacked down by car executives as well as a number of newspapers here in the buckeye state. so it's a close race. president obama making his closing argument today, martin. >> kristin welker there in ohio. thanks so much. stay with us. our "top lines," the week in review, is coming up. [ female announcer ] born from the naturally sweet monk fruit, something this delicious could only come from nature. now from the maker of splenda sweeteners, discover nectresse. the only 100% natural, no-calorie sweetener made from the goodness of fruit. the rich, sweet taste of sugar. nothing artificial. ♪ it's all that sweet ever needs to be. new nectresse. sweetness naturally. >>> a monster storm and a monster presidential race coll
MSNBC
Oct 28, 2012 7:00am PDT
that in 2008, there were states that then candidate obama lost on election day. but he carried them because of his campaigns early voting strategy. right now polls show that in key states like ohio, president obama leads mitt romney 2:1 or 60% to 30% with early voters. remains to be seen what strategy will seal the deal and who will win this election. but come election day, it will be clear whether the right strategy was galvanize voters early, early, early, or just hope they show up on election day. let's go to our table of experts. we -- look, this is it. 2450es are the final days. this is serious politics. so what's happening here particularly among my strategists. is it about targeting 106 counties, is it about early, early, swing voters, what is the winning strategy? >> what's going on is we have a gruff's race for ohio going on and barack obama and mitt romney are the candidates. we're dead in in terms of focusing in on specific counties because everyone's focused on ohio and i think to some degree candidates and people down at the county level in ohio may have better feel tha
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 11:00pm PDT
at this point. he could be focusing more on ohio and the pickup states. president obama, that map is a little bit misleading. where he's really spending all of his time in the last three days is in wisconsin, in iowa, and in ohio. >> can he win with wisconsin, iowa, virginia, and florida? >> clearly, he will win with all those. he could win without some of those things as long as he holds onto wisconsin and iowa he could lose a bunch of other states. that's his firewall. he's spending a bunch of time in the firewall states like nevada and wisconsin and iowa. that's the way that he holds on even if romney somehow runs the table in florida, virginia, and ohio. if he can hold those other states, he can still win. >> chuck, you go along with that? >> i do. >> we need virginia and florida? >> i have been trying -- the sunday romney schedule had been in the dark. they had set it up. here is the sunday schedule. we just got it. iowa, ohio, pennsylvania, and virginia. now -- >> pennsylvania, they got a chance there? yes. is it likely? >> feels like they're looking for more paths and more opp
MSNBC
Nov 2, 2012 8:00pm PDT
for the obama supporters. the united states added 171,000 jobs last month. expectations were around 125,000 new jobs. the unemployment rate is up .1% of a point to 7.9%. the reason behind the slight uptick is more americans joined the work force. this of course is good news. it makes october 184,000 jobs were added to the private sector. numbers for august and september were revised upward. the job numbers helped president obama make the case about the improving economy. >> in 2008 we were in the middle of two wars and the worst economic crisis since the great depression. today our businesses have created 5.5 million new jobs and this morning we hired that companies hired more workers in october than any time in the last eight months. >> with only four days left on the campaign trail, the candidates were all over the crucial state of ohio. president obama made three different stops today in that state. first here in hilliard ohio in the center of the state, then to springfield then to lima, ohio. mitt romney was not going to be outdone. here's another romney campaign rock concert an
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 7:00am PDT
virginia, you also see obama clinging to very, very within the margin of error slim leads in states like new hampshire. unfortunately, none of us are allowed to sleep through election day. we're all going to have to watch the polls. >> i will let you gaze into your crystal ball, whether you like to or not, and give me a one-word answer if there is a state that keeps us awake on election night, what will it be? the conventional wisdom is ohio. molly? >> well, just because of the time zone difference, it has to be colorado or nevada. >> what do you think, dana? >> i'm hoping for a recount in hawaii. i'm ready to go out there. >> i'm with you on that one. dana and molly, may we all be going west if there is a delay. thank you, both. >>> homeland security secretary janet napolitano is in the northeast today to assess hurricane damage. right now she's in connecticut and will be meeting with the governor. later on, she'll head here to new york city. the travel gridlock nationwide from sandy is finally starting to ease up a bit. laguardia airport opened this morning in new york. 600 flights hav
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 1:00am PDT
state's former republican governor, jeb bush, talking about president obama as a failure, his failure to bring this country together. at the same event, we had a republican state congressman tell parents that they should threaten to take halloween candy away from any children of obama supporters that they know tonight. he suggested it. i think the idea was he said that obama is a redistributionist, and so you can scare kids and their obama-supporting parents about redistribution if you steal the kids' candy. that was the tenor of the romney campaign today. even as they told the press corps that they were going to be very respectful and nonpartisan and refrain from attacking the president today. it was just a remarkable, remarkable day. a remarkable decision. i mean, president obama is expected to restart his campaign schedule tomorrow. but mr. romney did not want to wait for that. he started his campaign events today. i'm sorry, are you stuck doing something else? i'll take advantage of that? i'll get back on the campaign trail, i'm heading to florida. apparently you're otherwise occu
MSNBC
Oct 29, 2012 3:00am PDT
he's going to win the state. however, you have to point out, the obama campaign says they're competing in all the battleground states, and they are. the president's one event today is in florida with bill clinton, 10:00 this morning. >> going to be right in the middle of the i-4 corridor. >> right in the middle. they're competing there. they're not giving up. they're using their most precious asset today, one obama visit with bill clinton to go to florida. so they're not giving up, but there's no question romney has an edge there right now. >> you usually have, mika, north florida against south florida and central florida being what makes a difference. the south florida poll out of miami-dade shows the president -- >> largest county in the state, 52%-43%. >> that's not a surprise. i will tell you, this next poll, though, is a surprise. >> all right. let's go to virginia. the latest "washington post" poll has president obama clinging to a four-point lead. last month it was an eight-point difference. shall we go to ohio? >> i want to talk about virginia for a second. mark, republicans go
MSNBC
Oct 31, 2012 3:00am PDT
mitt romney is closing in on president obama's once-comfortable lead in that state. "the detroit news"/local 4 poll found among likely voters, the race has tightened to be within the margin of error. earlier this month romney was trailing president obama by approximately six percentage points. and with signs that michigan is once again in play, the pro-romney super pac restore our future launched a $2.2 million ad, and the obama campaign is countering with its first network tv ads in michigan. the ads are expected to begin airing today and will run through election day. >> so mark halperin, michigan. i'm sorry. >> go ahead. >> michigan. that's a good poll, right? >> it is. >> michigan's in play now. >> i mean, if you look -- if you think that the quinnipiac poll is right about ohio, then the obama explanation of why they're going into these states is more credible. >> these states being michigan and pennsylvania. >> which is not oh, my god, the sky is falling, we're losing everywhere, we need to play a lot of defense, but rather, you know, they can't win ohio, so they're looking
MSNBC
Oct 29, 2012 7:00am PDT
just said. the president has his surrogates out in some states trying to get the message for him. bill clinton is continues with the florida event. president obama probably made the right call to come back. it wouldn't look good if he continued with that event down in florida if people are pounded by rain. all attention will be on this storm for a while, especially on the east coast, so he has a chance to get out there and be in front of the cam ras. we don't want to talk aboutfall politics in a natural disaster, but it will give him a chance to respond and look presidential. >> mitt romney had to cancel three events in virginia. the latest poll out of the state. he's closing the gap, although the president still has a four-point lead. how do you proceed if you're mitt romney? he doesn't have an official role, so is whatever he does open to criticism, or is it -- do you even morph through a political lens? where does mitt romney play through all of this. >> he can campaign in states not adversely affected by the storm. he can stay in ohio. i don't think there was any downside to spend
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 12:00pm PDT
off these other states? honestly, i think at the end of the day, it comes down to ohio. and obama has a kiconsistent le in the polling there. by the way, something i'd love to know is what is the value of a candidate's appearance in a state? i asked somebody who spends a lot of time crunching numbers, looking at the polls in an analytical way. he said that it's very blurry, but i would just love to know how much of a bounce do you really get from a visit to a state? it's kind of a mystery to me. >> yeah. >> michael, i think when you look at obama in '08 and then again in 2012, he seems to have the luck of the irish, once again, a pre-election-day crisis that fits into his themes in '08, obviously the financial crisis made him look cool and calm under pressure. and this time we have a crisis that makes him look like, you know, that highlights his themes of we don't leave anybody behind. government should be there for people had they are most vulnerable. i mean, does this guy have the luck of the irish here or what? >> right. well, he does have some distant irish relatives. >> right. >>
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 1:00pm PDT
won the state for president obama and that it won reelection for president obama. >> do you think we're talking too much about ohio? listen, you've got the romney campaign saying they're looking at pennsylvania, minnesota, that they perhaps have some traction there. and we know the new numbers in florida. we'll talk with marc about that throe show at least a difference in polls from the nbc marist poll and local polls show romney is up more than we're indicating. >> first of all, i think both sides genuinely think they're going to win or certainly think they have a great chance of winning. that said, pennsylvania has always been fool's gold for republicans. it looks tempting at the end. they might go for it. >> sounds good on paper. >> but they don't get it. now if the new nbc marist poll is correct about florida, florida can decide it before we even, you know, do the late-night counting of the absentee ballots out of cleveland. i mean because florida, if that goes for president obama, that's pretty much the story, i think. >> mr. caputo, let me bring new you've in on this. the po
MSNBC
Nov 4, 2012 5:00am PST
in key states. a poll has president obama up five points in that state and two new nbc news polls have the president leading by six points in ohio and two in florida. the polls in these key states relatively stable over the last few weeks. it seems there's little persuading left to do. both sides agree on what is going to decide the campaign. that's turnout. they touted his party's get out to vote. >> we are far ahead of where we were in 2008. we are going to be -- you know, our ground game is better than their ground game. we are going to do more voter contacts this year than all of 2008 and all of 2004 combined. we have an army on the ground. >> democrats for their part have invested in a robust, cutting edge program in swing states. joe biden said at a meeting on thursday is what's going to put president obama over the top. >> hey, you know, you know why we're going to win? because of you all. no, i'm serious. i generally mean it. you know, the thing is -- the difference in this election, once again is the ground game. because of you and iowa, ohio, wisconsin, colorado, north c
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 8:00pm PDT
obama going to win the state of ohio? >> he is going to win it. they talked about the use of the word revenge. but all of us get caught up from time-to-time. the president has heart sole agreement. we know that the president has heart-soul agreement. we are going to deliver the state of ohio for president barack obama. >> ohio state's senator, nina turner. great to have you with us. before i let you go, tomorrow, his soles to the poles, is that correct? >> this is a big deal. from 1 to 5:00 p.m., we fought sunday to get back in. the churches are ready to rock and roll. >> still to come, president clinton has been an e effective surrogate. could he have an effect on downed ballot races, as well? and the romney campaign thinks they have a shot in wisconsin, president obama and katie perry are trying to do something like that. we'll take you to the badger's state ahead. but, first thrks is the ed show coming to you live from the heart of democracy plaza in new york city. stay with us. we'll be right back. donut. chips, chips! [ female announcer ] silence those tempting thoughts with
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 12:00am PDT
candidates were all over the crucial state of ohio. president obama made three different stops today in that state. then out west to springfield, ohio. then he headed north to lima, ohio. mitt romney was not going to be outdone. here is a look at another romney campaign rock concert and victory rally outside cincinnati. romney was also in wisconsin this morning, portraying himself as the candidate of change? >> the question of this election comes down to this. do you want more of the same, or do you want real change? and we bring real change. >> do you want 32 more months of private sector job growth? romney sure has a funny way of showing change, doesn't he? take a look at romney's surrogates at tonight's ohio victory rally. former secretary of state condoleezza rice, former labor secretary elaine chao, bobby jindal, tom ridge and also ohio senator rob portman. all five of these folks worked with the bush administration. in fact, mitt romney's campaign is looking more and more like the bush white house every day. romney even pulled out the old dick cheney trick of scaring voters before an e
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 7:00pm PDT
the state by over ten points. new nbc polls shows president obama over mitt romney. in wisconsin, president obama polled at 49% with mitt romney at 46%. in new hampshire president obama polled at 49%, mitt romney at 47% and detroit press poll and cnn poll showed in colorado president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. tonight president obama has an 81% chance of winning re-election. alex cwagner, so mike bloomberg somehow finally made up his mind. everyone is focused on the climate change. in that article he mentions the pez's position on abortion and the health care law. so this isn't just this week. this is something that mayor bloomberg has been thinking about for some time and it is coming as the president finished the bromance tour with chris christie. it is a good week for the president. >> when you read the mayor's reasons, what was he waiting for. there wasn't a single thing that he was in line for? >> it seems to me that he is someone who has a large conception on his role on american national affairs and an early endorsement would not preserve that. the mayor's people
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 3:00pm PDT
president obama among women who are likely voters in battleground states spop when you look even closer at the supposed coalition of women supporting president obama you find that they're not necessarily coalescing and their gender. in 2008 president obama's largest base of supporters were african-american women. his supporters were also latin thats, young women, same-same-sex loving women, women who have travelled the many roads that lead to the intersection where our identities meet. what matters most is that women show up for ourselves because, as we've seen over the last year, if we don't, there are those who will be happy to show up for us. the importance of showing up even when the door gets slammed in your face wasn't lost on the woman who is with me today. she is a face who was missing from that congressional hearing, sandra fluk, women's health care advocate and graduate from georgetown university. she joins me with karen finney, msnbc political analyst, columnist for "the hill" and victoria, nbc latino contributor, fellow at the lbj school at the university of texas and director
MSNBC
Oct 31, 2012 12:00pm PDT
states and ohio, romney colorado. give obama ohio and new hampshire. i think the point i want to make about this map is a broader one and it's a criticism and an expression of bafflement about the romney campaign strategy. if you look at that map, to win to get to 270, they have to win virginia, florida, north carolina. got to win colorado. putting that together, pick off ohio or some combination of wisconsin and plus new hampshire, iowa, nevada. a combination there and the polls out of ohio and wisconsin, not looking good for romney. to me the issue is this. there are states on the map that could have been competitive. oregon, michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania and even maybe where obama had big margins in 2008 like 15, 16-point margins but you have to go back to 2004 to see, you know, a three-point race in minnesota. a three-point race in michigan. these are states, there's a lot of flexibility in these states. if romney with all the money he had and republicans had, outside money, if they had targeted the states early with advertising and then with field work, too, i think it would
MSNBC
Nov 2, 2012 11:00am PDT
obama or governor romney, is we treat it as a national problem and we have huge varieties between states and education levels and gender. >> let's talk about the psyc psychology of it. are people looking at the numbers and measures how they feel? whatever the case, they're measures how they feel at their home right now. >> absolutely. it's a good media story to talk about the number that changes month to month. oh, my god the unemployment rate is 7.9%. do i have a job that pays enough? do i have several part-time jobs? will i find one if i lose one? that's what matters at an individual level. >> we know how that factor into who the public will vote for on tuesday. who makes me feel more comfortable about my future. >> what's odd about this is you think those areas hurting the most would be most likely to blame washington and president obama. they're most likely to vote democratic. people who do not have jobs who are struggling and not earning sufficient income seem much more likely to gravitate toward a party with a safety net. people who have jobs and are doing well are more like
MSNBC
Oct 31, 2012 6:00pm PDT
state most affected by the disaster. i mean, generically speaking, this sort of appearance is not a remarkable concept. this thing becomes remarkable, though, to see president obama and chris christie standing together and praising one another and talking about the ways they are working together, and seeing their coordinated state and federal disasters, this sort of thing becomes remarkable today, only because president obama is a democrat, and chris christie is a republican, and chris christie specifically is a republican who has been a very caustic partisan critic of president obama, in his role as a campaign surrogate for mitt romney, who president obama is running against, in a presidential election that ends in six days. mitt romney and that campaign today, that campaign that chris christie has been supporting, they made a somewhat remarkable decision to go ahead and keep campaigning, today, to get back on the campaign trail and start doing partisan campaign rallies again, even while the president was still suspending his own schedule, so he could respond to the storm. so what
MSNBC
Nov 4, 2012 1:00pm PST
voters in the crucial battleground states shows a slight edge for president obama. in ohio, a "columbus dispatch" poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. in pennsylvania, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. in wisconsin, president obama at 51% and mitt romney at 48%. in iowa, president obama at 47% and mitt romney at 42%. as of this afternoon, nate silver of "the new york times" 538 blog forecasts on november 6, president obama has an 85% chance of re-election and president obama will win 307 electoral votes and mitt romney 231. earlier today, chris matthews sat down for an exclusive with vice president joe biden. >> what do you think is going to happen? >> i think we're going to win. i don't think it's going to be close in the electoral college. i think we're going to win clearly and i think we're going to win this state, ohio. i've been in here 23, 24 days, we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. don't just vote. bring your mom, your
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 11:00am PDT
obama campaign about those states? >> well, i think they've been worried of all of those states because they are very close even though the polls shows obama slightly ahead by no means a safe margin. he does not have a strong lead anywhere. i think the romney campaign is really worried about ohio and that's why they suddenly turned up their visits in advertising in pennsylvania, michigan, minnesota, states they don't have much of a chance to carry but they need ohio insurance because so far even if the lead is very small ohio is looking pretty good for the president. >> you know, i'm glad bill brought that up because i was going to get to that in just a few minutes. ohio, governor romney hasn't led in a major poll in that state. right now you take an average of all the polls that look at the buckeye state, the president enjoys a lead there, some of those leads more substantial than others. is it at this point the buckeye state is it a wash for the governor? >> well, you know, i think he certainly had some trouble there gaining ground. he tried a new tactic over these last couple
MSNBC
Nov 2, 2012 7:00pm PDT
voters in the battleground states of virginia. in virginia, a reuters poll has president obama at 49% and mitt romney at 45%. in florida, reuters has president obama at 48% and mitt romney at 46%. in michigan, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. and in colorado, a ppp poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 46%. in new hampshire, a new england college poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 44%. tonight, nate silver the "new york times" blog forecasts that president obama has an 81% of winning re-election and that he will win 304 electoral college votes and mitt romney will within 234. and the great thing about next week is i will no longer have to say ppp poll. i'm done with that poll. these polls are tight. these polls, you know, i refuse to use the language the poll shows president obama winning 50, because every one of these polls is within the margin of error. every one of them. so they are really showing something that could be a tie, could be tight. for incumbents this is not considered particularly strong polling. when the incum
MSNBC
Oct 26, 2012 8:00pm PDT
and when he was secretary of state. to say that colin powell would endorse president obama because of his skin color is like saying mother teresa worked for profit. >> do you agree with general powell's endorsement? he is endorsing the president of the united states, and he very clearly stated why. would you go along with that? do you agree with that? >> i won't speak for him, but i will say that i thought he was rather forthright in the way he characterized it. i agree basically with the way he characterized it. president obama inherited a catastrophe of failing housing market, a collapsing automobile industry, a huge debt, 800,000 jobs lost. he inherited what george bush and dick cheney gave him. in the four years he's been president, he's made steady improvement. he stabilized the financial system, he saved the automobile industry. he needs another four years in order to make more improvements because there's still lots of improvements that need to be made, including more jobs. so let's give him four years rather than go to a man who is so slick that we don't even know from the pri
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